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- When you're first starting your business,

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you may have a lot of confidence

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and belief in the idea that you're starting to work on.

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However, the idea is really just the very beginning,

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that sort of germinating seed of where you go,

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and it's important to realize as you're getting started

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that there's an enormous amount

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of uncertainty in front of you.

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Creating a business is not this process

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where you figure things out, and then just go do something.

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Instead, it's much more a series of endless experiments,

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many of which fail.

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So you're constantly coming up with new hypotheses

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for things that you want to do,

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ideas that might be big ones or little ones

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in the context of where you're going with your business.

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You're running these little experiments very quickly,

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you're trying something.

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If it fails, it's not bad, you learn from that failure

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and you incorporate that into what you're doing

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going forward.

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If it succeeds, that little experiment,

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you do a lot more of it.

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And so the idea is, you've now figured out a vector,

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or trajectory, that you want to go down.

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So you're trying to eliminate this uncertainty

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on a continual basis by running these little experiments.

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The essence of that, though, is along the way,

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in addition to this uncertainty,

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you have this layer of risk with everything you're doing.

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Each time you hire a new person, you're taking a risk.

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You're taking a risk on that person.

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Are they going to fit, are they going to be the right person

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for the role that you're having?

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Whenever you enter in a relationship with another party,

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whether it's an investor or a business partner

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or a distribution channel,

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you're taking some risk in the context of that.

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So the risk of a start up is not this global risk

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of how risky being an entrepreneur and start ups are,

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but the fact that so many times along the way,

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you're going to be trying new things,

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a lot of which won't work.

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And so your ability as an entrepreneur

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to deal with uncertainty is extremely important,

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and recognize that that uncertainty

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is something that you manage,

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not by feeling lots of anxiety about it,

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although you could, that's a normal thing

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that a lot of entrepreneurs feel,

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but instead trying to run these small experiments

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to eliminate the uncertainty

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so that when you do take a bigger risk,

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you're doing it with good information,

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well-informed from your own experience.

